Campaign Insider

Obama's benchmark on jobs?

by Danielle Kane / Jun 11 2012

If history is any indication, the next set of economic numbers—set for release in early July—will be critical for President Obama’s reelection bid.  

Earlier this month, Democrats were rattled by the latest jobs report: just 69,000 new jobs were created in May and the unemployment rate ticked up slightly from 8.1 percent to 8.2 percent. If the pattern doesn’t break next month, Obama would be just the third president since 1980 to

Read more…

Comment

One cheer for text message contributions

by David Mason / Jun 11 2012

The Federal Election Commission appears poised to approve a method for donors to make small campaign contributions via text message. But I’m giving the news just one cheer because I’m not convinced text contributions will live up to the buzz.

Why? For one, fundraising via text will be expensive. It also introduces barriers to donor follow-up, and it may benefit only high profile campaigns.

Text collection fees can run 50 percent

Read more…

Comment

Timing your campaign signs

Timing your campaign signs

by Ben Donahower / Jun 11 2012

A campaign has three resources: time, money, and people. While campaigns can always, theoretically, raise more money or find more volunteers, they can't push back Election Day. Time is the only nonrenewable resource, so making the right timing decisions is critical.

With that in mind, what’s the right time to deploy traditional campaign signs? Even in a new media world, it’s a detail campaigns shouldn’t be glossing over.  

Targeted and high-profile

Read more…

Comment

Politics as entertainment

by Mandie Suits / Jun 08 2012

And the winner is ... both!  That was the outcome of the Kristen Bell-Toby Keith-hosted debate in the opening segment of Wednesday night’s CMT Music Awards. The show began with the two performers campaigning for the top host spot. Voters for this election included the likes of Jon Bon Jovi and Matthew McConaughey, as well as President Obama and Mitt Romney. The president and his challenger appeared in separate skits where they deliberated

Read more…

Comment

Voter behavior and what 'The West Wing' teaches us about Wisconsin

by Robert Spicer / Jun 08 2012

In the last season of NBC’s “The West Wing,” fictional White House staffers Josh Lyman, played by Bradley Whitford, and Sam Seaborn, played by Rob Lowe, have an exchange about the obsessiveness of politically active individuals.

Sam: Neuroscientists have found that when people who describe themselves as politically committed listen to political statements they respond only with the emotional side of the brain. The area of the cortex where reasoning occurs stays quiet.

Read more…

Comments (5)

What Wisconsin means for the White House race

by Erik Nilsson / Jun 07 2012

Wisconsin’s recall election showed us that depending solely on a ground game will not win an election. A campaign also needs a media and messaging focus in order to drive supporters to the polls. But to execute a robust media strategy your campaign needs to raise significant amounts of money.

That doesn’t mean political fundraising is the be all and end all of a campaign. It’s simply the fuel to power the other

Read more…

Comment

Identifying ‘women-friendly’ House districts 

by Dave Nyczepir / Jun 07 2012

Democratic Reps. Carolyn Maloney (N.Y.) and Anna Eshoo (Calif.) might rest easier knowing they currently occupy some of the most “women-friendly” terrain in the country, according to new research from two political scientists.     

In their new book, “Women & Congressional Elections: A Century of Change,” Professors Barbara Palmer and Dennis Simon set out to determine whether demographics make certain congressional districts more or less likely to elect a woman.

Political strategists

Read more…

Comment

Gov. Walker wins the Wisconsin air war

by Chris Palko / Jun 06 2012

When the Wisconsin recall election started edging forward last fall, Gov. Scott Walker (R) didn’t hesitate. He began airing ads on November 15. At that point in time, the success of the recall looked like a 50/50 proposition. For the last six weeks of 2011, Walker put in $2.4 million in paid media. The only other advertiser on the air at this time was the Democratic umbrella group Greater Wisconsin Committee. In this period,

Read more…

Comment

Did money really win the day in Wisconsin?

by Phillip Stutts / Jun 06 2012

As politicos, we’ve all been there the following morning. Big win or big loss—it doesn’t matter. The campaign aides are sleeping off hangovers (good or bad) and the reporters are penning post-mortems.

The one theme I’m seeing throughout the mainstream media is that money won the day in Wisconsin. That along with the “Walker survives” headlines (if winning by seven points is surviving).

The stories are everywhere, and it’s a theme

Read more…

Comment

Lessons from Berman, Sherman clash

Lessons from Berman, Sherman clash

by Sean J. Miller / Jun 06 2012

LOS ANGELES—Rep. Howard Berman wasn’t looking at the returns being projected onto a white wall in his Encino campaign office, which was probably a good thing, considering they showed him about five points down to Rep. Brad Sherman. Standing behind a lectern on top of a small stage, the veteran congressman told his cheering supporters, “We have seized the momentum.”

The contest between the two Democratic congressmen was the highest-profile intraparty battle in

Read more…

Comment

Will the Wisconsin recall foreshadow November?

by Stefan Hankin / Jun 04 2012

The recall election of Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) has Democrats and Republicans in Washington keeping their fingers crossed for a team victory and a good week of talking points. Both parties have tried to package this election as a forecast of what’s to come in November. But is it really an accurate measure? Probably not, given recent history.

The polling gives an edge to Walker as there were no surveys in May

Read more…

Comment

With mistrial, an opportunity to rethink Edwards prosecution

by Allen Dickerson / Jun 01 2012

In the trial of former Sen. John Edwards (D-N.C.), the jury succeeded in reaching a unanimous opinion on only one point -- that a $200,000 check written as Edwards's campaign was disintegrating, and cashed only after it ended, was not an illegal campaign contribution.

That makes sense. Criminal trials are supposed to be about the actions and intentions of the accused, not those of third parties. Bunny Mellon may have intended any number

Read more…

Comment

Newsletter Sign up

Please enter a valid email address

Sign up here to receive newsletters and special offers from Campaigns & Elections.

Advertise with Campaigns&Elections

Follow C&E Find us on LinkedIn

Follow us on Twitter

TweetsWind: a Twitter widget